The Pattern Behind SMCI's 240% Explosion (And How to Spot The Next One)
Dear Profit Punch Subscriber,
In February 2024, Super Micro Computer (SMCI) exploded 240% higher after forming this simple pattern I'm about to show you. While most traders were distracted by news and noise, this pattern quietly told us exactly when to buy—before the massive move began.
But SMCI wasn't alone. The same pattern appeared in CVNA before its 200% surge and FSLR before its 62% rally. Today, I'll show you exactly how to spot it.
Why This Pattern Works
The Cup with Handle pattern works because it shows us exactly when big institutions are quietly accumulating shares. Here's what happens:
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The stock pulls back as weak holders sell
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Smart money starts buying, forming a "cup" shape
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A final shakeout (the handle) flushes out the last weak hands
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The stock explodes higher on huge volume
The Exact Pattern Rules
Here's your checklist for a perfect Cup with Handle:
✓ Minimum 4-week base formation
✓ U-shaped cup (not V-shaped)
✓ 30%+ uptrend before the base
✓ Handle drifts downward/sideways (never up)
✓ Handle correction: 8-12% maximum
✓ Decreasing volume in handle
✓ Volume surge on breakout

SMCI Case Study: The Perfect Setup
Here's exactly how SMCI played out:
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Cup formed over 6 weeks from $250 to $350
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Perfect U-shape with declining volume
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Handle formed with 10% correction
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Breakout at $375 on 73% above-average volume
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Result: Stock hit $1,000 in 50 days

SMCI Split adjusted Daily
CVNA: The 200% Monster Move
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8-week cup from $25 to $45
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Tight 2-week handle with volume dry-up
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Broke out on earnings with 92% above-average volume
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Surged from $47 to $115

CVNA Daily
FSLR: The "Textbook" Trade
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Classic U-shaped base
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Handle showed perfect volume contraction
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Buy point: $185
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Stop loss: $172 (7% risk)
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Target hit: $300 (62% gain)
FSLR Daily
Your Action Plan
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Scan for stocks 30% off their highs
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Look for U-shaped bases lasting 4+ weeks
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Wait for handle with decreasing volume
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Enter when price breaks above handle WITH volume
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Risk maximum 7-8% below entry
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First target: 20-25% above entry
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Let winners run with trailing stops
Warning Signs to Avoid
❌ V-shaped bases (too sharp)
❌ Handles correcting >12%
❌ Upward-drifting handles
❌ Weak volume on breakout
❌ Less than 4 weeks of base
Next week, I'll reveal the exact pattern that preceded NVIDIA's move from $50 to all-time highs. Don't miss it!
Trading With You,
Valentine
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